How many books
have you picked up and they point directly to money
management, emotions and trading approach as the 3 factors
for successful trading? These 3 factors are key, but the
way we categorize them is different. We do not
separate money management as a separate factor. Instead
it’s the base of every action taken in the market.
The Basics
Money management is the number one focus of a successful
trader. Money management is the essence of managing your
capital to prevent losing your capital, giving back gains
in a position and at the same time allowing for the maxim
upside potential. There are many strategies of application
when it comes to money management, but we are going to
keep ours simple in the introduction section.
First and foremost, the key to successful money management
starts with a defensive approach. If every action you take
fails to be based upon a defensive approach, then the odds
of success are going to be limited. Most trading
approaches consider money management as a separate factor.
Our view is that money management principles are the basis
or cornerstone of every action taken, not a separate
principle.
If a trader makes their
cornerstone the key concepts of successful money
management, they allow the odds to shift in their favor
dramatically. The basic concept of money management is to
identify the risk within a trade, based upon your read of
a index. Once the risk is identified, the amount is
then placed into a formula to identify how much capital
should be used. From here the trader can then adjust their
risk to reward ratio, keeping the odds stacked in their
favor.
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Chart
A
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Chart
B
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Pinpoint
The Risk Per Trade
Identifying the risk in a trade is easy. The risk is
figured out by subtracting the entry level from the stop
loss level. This will give you your point risk. Multiply
this by the divider, which in the S&P E-Mini is $50,
then you will obtain your capital at risk. To obtain a percentage
value for the risk, you then divide
the risk amount by the margin required for the position. The end result will be your
risk percentage of risk in the trade (Chart
A).
Identifying
the upside potential can be done in a number of fashions.
Generally it’s the target level minus the entry level. Multiply
the difference by the divider. Take this value and divide it by the
margin requirement to
obtain return percentage. Often times a trader will have initial
target and primary target, therefore returns should be
figured out for both target levels (Chart
B).
Identifying the risk to reward is done simply by dividing
the risk amount by the reward amount. In the chart
examples, the risk to reward is 1 to 2.
Protecting Your Capital
Stop losses are essential when trading. Without stop
losses, the trader is placing excessive risk in a trade,
which often times leads to disaster. The one
characteristic you will find in EVERY successful trader is
the utilization of predefined stops at all times.
Setting a stop can be
done via a stop or use of mental stop. If a mental stop is
utilized, the trader must carry discipline in their
trading. Without discipline, a trader will fail to control
their risk, because each time a trade is near being
stopped out, he/she runs the risk of second guessing their
stop.
The
Stop Loss
A stop loss is a given level in a position that when hit,
causes the open position to be covered/closed. For
example, if a trader places a sell stop order for ES at
902 (currently trading at 905), the position will be closed
if the 902 level is met.
Trailing
Stop Loss
Trailing stops are ideal to use when a trader wants to
maintain gains and profit potential at the same time.
Trailing stops are applied by identifying a desired
trailing level, for example 1-point. The stop will then
trail behind the highest high made after the stop was
initiated. For example, if a trader entered ES at 901 and
used a 1 point trailing stop, the position would be closed
if the 900 level was met. If ES moved towards 905,
the new stop level would then be 904.
Trailing stops are ideal, because they allow for further
profit potential to enter due to momentum, while limiting risk. This
approach is especially ideal for positions that move profitable
and near exhaustion. Such approach will prevent excessive
gains from being given back. The downside is being stopped
out prematurely, small price to pay, because you can
always trade when you are profiting, but not when
excessive losses are being taken.
Understanding stops and
when to use them, along with keeping defensive mindset in
your approach is the
initial step to obtaining and applying successful money management skills. The actual
allocation of capital is the next step, which has numerous
variances to its application.
A trader never wants to place at risk more than 5-10% of
their capital on a single trade. If you are starting out with a small
account, the percentage is going to be higher. If this is
the case, WE RECOMMEND THAT YOU ONLY
TRADE LOW RISK TRADES THAT HAVE HIGH PROBABILITY OF
SUCCESS. If you have a small account, you will
likely only trade 2-5 times a week.
Risk Capital
Risk capital is the amount of capital you are willing to
risk if the trade is stopped out.
For example, if you have a $10,000 account and you are
placing 8% at risk (because you feel strongly the
underlying is going to move higher with little risk) then
your risk capital would be $800.
The
$800 amount is not the size of the trade, but instead the
amount you are willing to lose within the trade. The size
of a position should never be determined based upon how
much you are willing to trade and risk. The size of
the position should be determined based upon the odds of
success. The risk capital only identifies the
maximum you are willing to lose if you took the largest
position possible.
How Much Can
You Buy?
If $800 is your risk capital, you would determine how many contracts you would buy based upon the entry
level minus the stop loss level. If you were entering ES at
900 and your stop is placed at 898, your risk
in the trade would be 2 points or $100. To identify how many
contracts you
could buy (not would), you divide the risk capital by the
risk within the trade (entry minus exit), $800/$100= 8
contracts.
In
this case, you can buy up to 8 contracts of the e-mini and keep the risk
around 8% of your account, if the position is stopped out.
The total margin requirement required for this trade (at
$2,000 per contract) of 8 contracts would be $16,000. This
is identified by multiplying the number of contracts by
the margin requirement, 8 x $2,000 = $16,000. This exceeds
the account
size, which cannot be done. To identify the number of
contracts that can be purchased, you divide your total
account value by margin requirement and the maximum number
of contracts that can be purchased will be identified,
10,000/2,0000= 5 contracts.
Closing Notes
This is only a simple introduction to Money Management.
The real heart of money management and art of application
occurs when the trader creates a system of trade that
identifies where the stop loss within a trade is placed.
Most traders try to use a mathematical number or approach
to identify where to place a stop loss in a trade and they
miserably fail at applying it on a universal level.
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Chart
C
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Fact
is that each trade carries its own specific location for
an ideal stop, which depends on the setup in the security.
For example, a stock bouncing off of lower support will use
a stop placed just under the support level (Chart
C).
If the index is 3 points away from lower support, then a 3
point stop is used. If the support level is 5 points
away, then the stop is placed 5 points away. Setting a set
stop parameter and applying it universally cannot be done with
great success, because the index acts and reacts depending
upon the underlying market conditions, never producing consistency
on a predeterminable level.
This theory of approach is very rarely taught, simply
because there are few systems that actually know how to
identifying the key stop loss level.
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